The Intermarket Analysis Strategy Using Bonds, Indices & Commodities to Predict Forex Moves

Last Updated on March 25, 2025 by Arif Chowdhury

Are you tired of unpredictable Forex moves?

Wondering how to read the market better?

Feeling overwhelmed by all the analysis out there?

I get it. As a seasoned Forex trader since 2015, I’ve navigated these waters.

I’ve honed my skills in both fundamental and technical analysis, but I’ve found that intermarket analysis is where the magic happens.

Let’s break it down.

What is Intermarket Analysis?

Intermarket analysis looks at how different markets—like bonds, indices, and commodities—interact.

These markets don’t operate in isolation.

When one moves, others often follow, creating patterns you can leverage to predict Forex movements.

Why Focus on Bonds, Indices, and Commodities?

  • Bonds: When bond prices rise, yields drop. This often means investors are seeking safety, which can lead to a weaker currency.
  • Indices: Stock indices reflect economic health. A strong index often correlates with a strong currency. If the S&P 500 surges, the USD may strengthen.
  • Commodities: Commodities like oil and gold can drive currency values. For instance, if oil prices rise, the CAD typically strengthens due to Canada’s oil exports.

By analyzing these markets, I can make more educated predictions about Forex pairs.

The Strategy in Action

  1. Monitor Bond Yields
    Keep an eye on the 10-year Treasury yield. A significant drop can signal market uncertainty, affecting the USD.
  2. Watch Indices
    If the DOW hits new highs, it often means a strong dollar. Trade accordingly.
  3. Track Commodity Prices
    Rising gold prices? The USD may weaken. Adjust your trades on pairs like USD/CHF.

Statistical Insights

Did you know that in 2022, the correlation between gold prices and the USD was around -0.7?

This means when gold prices increase, the USD often decreases.

Understanding these correlations can give you an edge.

My Trading Bots: A Secret Weapon

Now, let me share a little secret.

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And the best part?

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Putting It All Together

So how do you combine these elements?
Here’s a quick checklist:

  • Analyze bond yields: Look for trends and shifts.
  • Monitor stock indices: Identify economic sentiment.
  • Track commodity prices: Adjust your Forex trades accordingly.

Choosing the Right Broker

Now that you have the strategy down, let’s talk about brokers.

Having a reliable broker is crucial for executing your trades effectively.

A good broker will provide you with tight spreads, fast execution, and excellent customer support, all of which are essential for successful trading.

Conclusion

Intermarket analysis can be your game-changer in Forex trading.

By understanding the relationships between bonds, indices, and commodities, you can predict Forex moves more accurately.

And don’t forget to leverage my 16 trading EAs—they’re designed to enhance your trading experience without any upfront cost.

Ready to dive deeper?

Let’s elevate your trading game together!