How to Use MACD + Projection Oscillator for Identifying Overbought & Oversold Conditions?

Last Updated on March 14, 2025 by Arif Chowdhury

Ever felt stuck in the market, unsure if you’re buying high or selling low?

You’re not alone.

Many traders wrestle with the same questions.

How do you spot when a currency pair is overbought or oversold?

This is where the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) and Projection Oscillator come into play.

Let’s break it down.

Understanding the Basics

First off, let’s get a grip on what these indicators do.

MACD is a trend-following momentum indicator.

It shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price.

The Projection Oscillator, on the other hand, helps identify price momentum and potential reversals.

When combined, they provide a powerful toolkit for recognizing those crucial overbought and oversold conditions.

Why Use MACD + Projection Oscillator?

Here’s the deal:

  • Statistical Insight: According to a study by the National Bureau of Economic Research, about 70% of currency traders use MACD as part of their strategy.
  • This tells you it’s a trusted tool in the trading community.

When the MACD crosses above the signal line, it’s a buy signal.

When it crosses below, it’s a sell signal.

The Projection Oscillator adds another layer, helping you confirm those signals.

Identifying Overbought & Oversold Conditions

Now, how do you identify these conditions?

  1. Look for Divergence:
    • If prices are rising, but the MACD is falling, you might be looking at an overbought situation.
    • Conversely, if prices are falling, but the MACD is rising, it could indicate oversold territory.
  2. Use Threshold Levels:
    • Set your Projection Oscillator to indicate overbought when it’s above 70 and oversold when it’s below 30.
    • This is a basic rule, but it works.

The Strategy in Action

Here’s how to put it all together:

  • Step 1: Add both MACD and Projection Oscillator to your chart.
  • Step 2: Watch for MACD crossovers.
  • Step 3: Check if the Projection Oscillator confirms your findings.
  • Step 4: Make your move.

Simple, right?

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Best Practices for Using Indicators

Don’t just rely on MACD and Projection Oscillator.

Mix in other indicators for a robust strategy.

  • RSI (Relative Strength Index): Helps confirm overbought/oversold conditions.
  • Bollinger Bands: Visualize volatility and potential reversal points.

Choosing the Right Broker

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Why?

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In trading, having the right partner can make all the difference.

Conclusion

MACD and Projection Oscillator are essential tools for identifying overbought and oversold conditions.

When used together, they can significantly enhance your trading strategy.

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